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          Furniture search demand improves
          Online search behaviour suggests that consumer interest                                             Getty Images
          in furniture products in Germany has strengthened again in
          recent years.
            After declining between 2021 and 2023, the product search
          index began to recover and has gradually moved upward

          through 2024 and 2025.
            Recent values are among the highest in the series, indicating
          that consumers are increasingly searching for furniture-related
          products again after a period of weaker interest.
            This improvement suggests that early-stage demand   linked to households' willingness to make larger expenditures.
          signals for furniture may be recovering even though realised   Changes in consumer confidence therefore often translate
          retail sales remain subdued.                       into shifts in spending on durable goods.
            At the same time, searches for furniture retailers have   In Germany, consumer confidence dropped sharply during
          remained comparatively weaker, creating a divergence between   the inflation shock of 2022, reaching the lowest levels in the

          product and retailer search trends. This may indicate that   series. Since then, sentiment has recovered somewhat, but
          consumers increasingly start their purchase journey with   the indicator has remained consistently negative over the
          product searches rather than retailer brands.      past two years.
                                                                While the worst of the decline appears to be over, confidence
          Early signs of recovery in German housing          remains below pre-2020 levels, suggesting that households
          Housing  activity  is  closely  linked  to furniture  demand, as   are still relatively cautious in their spending outlook.
          home purchases, relocations and new construction typically   Taken together, the indicators suggest that the German

          trigger furniture spending.                        furniture market may be approaching the end of its recent
            Changes in the housing cycle therefore often translate into   downturn, but a clear recovery has not yet emerged. Retail
          shifts in furniture market activity.               turnover remains slightly below recent years,  indicating that
            After a sharp downturn between 2022 and 2024, the   realised demand is still weak even though the rate of decline
          German housing cycle is showing early signs of recovery.   has moderated.
            Both mortgage lending and residential building permits   At  the  same  time,  several  forward-looking  signals  are
          declined significantly during the period of rising interest rates,   becoming more positive.
          with permits falling particularly strongly.           Furniture product searches have strengthened again and
            More recently, however, mortgage volumes have begun to   housing indicators show early signs of stabilisation after a sharp

          increase again and building permits appear to have stabilised   contraction. However, the continued weakness in consumer
          after the steep decline, suggesting that the housing market   confidence suggests that households remain cautious about
          may be gradually bottoming out.                    discretionary spending.
                                                                Overall, the data point to a market that is stabilising with
          German consumer confidence remains subdued         tentative early demand signals, but where a sustained recovery
          Consumer sentiment plays an important role in furniture   will likely depend on further improvement in housing activity
          demand, as furniture purchases are typically discretionary and   and consumer sentiment.
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